There is lots of discussion within the media lately regarding possibly creating changes for the overtime rules in NFL games. It’s important to think about how this will affect sports handicapping. In one group you will find people who really feel there is no crisis observing teams slug it out against each other for 60 minutes, simply to have what ought to function as the most exciting part with the game getting determined on a singular possession in which a team just has to maneuver the ball 30-40 yards which sets up a perfect winning Field Goal.

We have to wonder what a change in OT means for sports gambling and handicapping. Remember that the National Football League owes much of its popularity to the that it happens to be the most heavily wagered sport in the US. If they went to an over time system like college football uses, would that hurt the lines that are put out on NFL matches, especially game totals, unders, and overs?

This is the case: place a bet on a game that has a final of 42. After regulation play time, it is stuck at 14. Therefore your wager for the game not making it under the final score looks good, get it? Let’s just say that the OT situation was a lot more like college football when both teams get the ball regardless? We can say they both score touch downs in OT. At this moment you could have as many as forty-two points. Then another over time having two field goals after which yet another having the winning field goal. Now you went from having an awesome chance with the game ending on the total of thirty-one with the typical OT determining FG to having the game exactly where the total score rose up by as much as fifty-one points. This all happening in what is basically when you have no more time to left run off of the clock.

Therefore, I want to go on record saying two things. The first, the OT system is definitely broken. When you have the coin flip be more important than any of the players on the field, that’s a problem. And the winner of the coin flip in NFL overtimes wins an amazing 60% of the time. In fact, more than 30% of the time the team that loses the flip never even sees the ball! And no you don’t have to go to the college system either. You could do that for 1 possession each: if both teams score the same amount in that exchange THEN you go to sudden death.

Also for wagering reasons I might then allow it to be (like they should’ve carried out already for NCAA Football) a soccer rule. In tournaments and games in soccer, where there is really a chance of overtime or penalty kicks, the betting line doesn’t take into consideration these additional frames. That’s why they have a Draw line. When the game ends in a tie following 90 minutes, the teams might continue to play to figure out a victor however for gambling reasons the overall game is finished. I suggest the NFL stick to the exact same rule, particularly when the OT program is transformed. Following 60 minutes, the game is carried out for gambling reasons. No unnaturally adjusted scores which make a mockery with the betting lines. Consequently although the program ought to be modified to emphasize the team members more than the coin flip, I believe the wagering rules ought to also switch to keep up up with the changes right now everyone knows how the lines are likely to proceed a Super Bowl game. The number is shared a complete 2 weeks prior to the game is actually played. What has really been very telling relating to this seasons game is how much the line moved within the really early stages of being published.

If you’re aware of my sports betting systems, you understand that I put a high premium on buying your first line. I believe that you must be wagering the real number if you want to be positive that you are betting the game when you should be doing so. So what does the true number mean?

Just what exactly occurred during the matchup among the Saints and also the Colts? Actually, the very first click was Sunday night at 10:17 PM EST, just following the Vikings-Saints game.. Equally CRIS and Pinnacle posted the game Indianapolis -3.5. By 10:18 it changed to -4 and that is when an additional extremely respected overseas group, Olympic, announced its opener of -4 too.

Within five minutes, Olympic posted 4.5. CRIS and Pinnacle soon followed. At nearly 11pm, Olympic was up to -5. All in all, in under 45 min. the game moved right past one of the most important numbers in the NFL betting world: four! Right after 12AM, CRIS moved to a 5.5, and by Monday Pinnacle and Olympic were on board as well. Olympic was wise and tested at -6 on Monday night, but that only lasted eight minutes before they went back to 5.5. What does all this mean? IS 5.5 the real number regarding the point spread for the week.

At the moment, we are still eleven nights away from the game, so it’s too early to know. But, you are able to have a good idea of the way the sharp shooters feel regarding this game: a total two point move in less than twenty-four hours? This does not happen very often, especially in a game with so much importance. Keep this in mind when it comes to sports handicapping and planning your bets. Bookies may lose it all with the Super Bowl, especially when they are middled. However, here is my argument: Indianapolis -6 is going to be the real number. Right now it is two to one in preference of bets on Indy and we have a great deal of time to pass. I hope this gives you a good background on the significance of early Super Bowl bets.

Rich Allen is an expert in Sports Handicapping and has worked for Las Vegas and Atlantic City books. His Sports Betting Professor Systems have sold worldwide and cover all major sports including horse racing. Download a FREE copy of The Sports Betting Insider’s Guide at: http://richallensports.com/sports-handicapping